It wouldn’t be April without the threat for severe weather, a threat we once again face this afternoon and evening. Biggest threats will be large hail, damaging wind gusts up to 70mph, and possibly a tornado if any storms manage to become isolated. The storms will start forming along a dryline this afternoon around 3pm just east of the panhandles (around Woodward and Leedey) and mainly north of I-40. Those storms will move eastward toward I-35 by 7pm and hold together through 10pm before falling apart. Otherwise, expect partly cloudy skies and highs in the 70s with a southeast breeze at 5-15mph. Rain chances today and tonight are both 60%.
A second line of thunderstorms could follow the first one after dark and push east ahead of our next cold front through the night. These storms will likely stick around through sunrise tomorrow, similar to what we saw this morning, before getting swept to the east with the front. Main threats will be large hail, gusty winds, and flash flooding with some of the heavy downpours. Lows will be in the mid to upper 50s with winds out of the south at 5-15mph.
Most of Sunday’s rain potential will be north of I-40 and east of I-35 as the main storm system behind this latest batch of severe weather moves east across southern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. Wrap-around showers, unlike what we saw Tuesday, will stay north of the metro, so our rain chances Sunday will be down in the 20% range. Severe threats will be well east of I-35, mainly across cities like Tulsa and Sallisaw. Once the front plows through OKC, temperatures will struggle to rise just into the upper 60s against a gusty northwest breeze at 15-25mph.
We will have a break from the rain Monday before scattered showers and t-storms return on Tuesday. Long range models suggest a bigger storm system will bring another chance for severe weather later next week.